Upper Nile · 10.45°N, 32.20°E
Melut
Melut county in Upper Nile. Profile derived from state-level climate and humanitarian baselines.
Watch
58
Composite hazard
Population
138k
IDPs
11k
Flood risk
86
Drought risk
12
Food insecurity
76
Rainfall — last 30 days
Active alerts
CriticalFlood
CRITICAL: Riverine flooding expected in Melut — Nile system rising
Activate evacuation; preposition NFIs, water purification, and SAR boats. Open elevated shelters.
92%
CriticalCholera Risk
CRITICAL: AWD/cholera transmission risk elevated in Melut
Pre-position ORS and IV fluids; chlorinate water points; deploy RRTs and rapid testing.
78%
WarningFood Insecurity
WARNING: IPC Phase 4 conditions deepening in Melut
Scale up GFD and BSFP; activate anticipatory cash; convene IPC technical working group.
74%
AI 7-day forecast
Monthly & seasonal outlook
October 2026 (current)
Rainfall 164mm · anomaly +2%
Conf 78%
November 2026 (next)
Rainfall 195mm · anomaly +6%
Conf 70%
Harvest Transition (current)
Conf 72%
Rainfall: Below normal· Flood: SafeDrought: Safe
Dry Season
Conf 62%
Rainfall: Normal· Flood: SafeDrought: Safe